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Anthropic aims for $1.4 trillion valuation in record-breaking IPO

The AI chatbot maker plans to raise up to $64.4 billion as it navigates a volatile market and shifting political landscape.

By Hiroshi Ferrari ·

Illustration for: Anthropic aims for $1.4 trillion valuation in record-breaking IPO
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Anthropic, the developer of the Claude AI chatbot, has targeted a valuation of $1.4 trillion for its upcoming initial public offering. The company intends to raise as much as $64.4 billion, a figure that would place the listing among the largest stock market debuts in history. The firm launched its investor roadshow on Tuesday, with reports indicating plans to go public within the next week.

According to filings submitted to the United States Securities and Exchange Commission on Tuesday, Anthropic plans to offer 825 million shares. The proposed price range is between $70 and $78 per share. This pricing structure, when potential shares are included, supports the target valuation of up to $1.4 trillion.

In a separate move to bolster its financial position, the company has secured $26 billion through a private placement. This funding is backed by some of the world’s largest technology firms, including Google, Nvidia, Microsoft, and AMD. These partnerships underscore the significant industry confidence in Anthropic’s trajectory.

The proposed valuation is somewhat lower than earlier estimates, which had suggested the company could be valued between $1.5 trillion and $2 trillion. This adjustment reflects growing concerns regarding the company’s massive infrastructure spending and recent volatility in AI stock prices. Investors are increasingly questioning whether AI companies can generate sufficient revenue to justify their soaring valuations and sustain the current market boom.

Despite these market uncertainties, Anthropic has reported explosive growth. The company recorded revenues of $17 billion in the third quarter, a significant increase from $1.4 billion a year earlier. Its net losses have also narrowed during this period. On Tuesday, Anthropic stated it is on pace to generate approximately $81 billion in annual revenue, which is $10 billion higher than the estimate provided just a month prior.

The company attributes its rapid expansion to strong demand for Claude across various sectors, including healthcare, financial services, and legal services. However, meeting this demand requires substantial resources. Anthropic has committed nearly $900 billion to computing costs with partners such as Amazon and Google. This represents a massive financial bet on the continued demand for its products.

The timing of the IPO coincides with a shifting political climate in the United States. Democrats recently won control of both chambers of the US Congress in the midterm elections held last week. The new Democratic-led House of Representatives and Senate have raised the possibility of increased regulation for AI companies, along with new restrictions on the construction of data centres that power the technology.

AI stocks experienced a decline following the midterms. The Nasdaq index fell 5.5 percent on Thursday, marking its largest one-day drop in more than a year. This selloff, which was also driven by declines at Nvidia, wiped out trillions of dollars from the market. Notably, Nvidia’s CEO was targeted by an alleged Chinese spy, adding to the market jitters.

Markets have since recovered some of those losses, although the Nasdaq dipped slightly below 1 percent on Tuesday. Some analysts have argued that the recent sell-off was an overreaction and that the election results are unlikely to derail the ongoing expansion of data centres. The listing will serve as a major test of investor appetite for AI companies in this evolving environment.

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