Retired General: New Iran Strikes Will Weaken Tehran, Not End War
Joseph Votel argues that a post-election bombing campaign requires a defined end state focused on the Strait of Hormuz and uranium enrichment.
By Hassan Ellis ·
A new wave of U.S. and Israeli airstrikes against Iran is likely to degrade the country's military power without ending the conflict, according to retired Army Gen. Joseph Votel.
Votel, who commanded U.S. Central Command from 2016 to 2019, told NPR that many probable targets have already been struck in previous rounds. He noted that Iran has demonstrated the ability to rebuild these assets. While fresh attacks can punish Tehran and buy time, they have not yet shifted the Iranian government's strategic calculations regarding the war's trajectory.
The general emphasized that the U.S. needs a clear definition of victory before launching further operations. In his assessment, the primary goals are reopening the Strait of Hormuz and resolving the uranium enrichment issue. He argued that military force is only one component of a larger strategy that must also include economic, diplomatic, and information pressure.
Votel identified the financial sector as the area showing the most progress. He cited reports that Iran's shadow fleet has depleted its oil reserves due to ongoing blockades and sanctions. Although this approach is slow, he stated that there is measurable movement in the right direction.
The former commander acknowledged that U.S. objectives have appeared confusing to the public. He explained that the main drivers are the desire to restore free commerce through the Strait of Hormuz, which would lower domestic fuel prices, and the need to curb Iran's nuclear program. He also mentioned Iranian proxies in the region, including the Houthis, but maintained that Hormuz and enrichment remain the top priorities.
Regarding military readiness, Votel said the U.S. has sufficient offensive power to continue striking while defending its bases and partners. However, he identified missile defense as a potential constraint. Recent reports indicate heavy pressure on defensive interceptors protecting U.S. forces and critical infrastructure. He concluded that while offensive capabilities are adequate, defensive resources may face limitations.
Votel currently chairs the Combating Terrorism Center at West Point. He advised that bringing Iran to the negotiating table requires a unified strategy that combines military, economic, and diplomatic tools with the patience to sustain that pressure over time.
